Prediction Detail: PRED-20250126-9988HK-0003
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20250126-9988HK-0003 |
| ticker | 9988.HK |
| company | 阿里巴巴 |
| sector | 电商/云计算 |
| prediction_date | 2025-01-26 |
| horizon | 30天 |
| direction | down |
| expected_change_pct | -6.2 |
| confidence | 0.77 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | 5.1 |
| error | 11.3 |
| evidence_count | 4 |
Evidence summary
电商竞争依旧激烈,用户时长被分流,云业务利润率受价格战压制
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 美联储议息纪要 | 2025-01-25 |
| 高盛行业研报 | 2025-01-23 |
| SemiAnalysis 供应链跟踪 | 2025-01-25 |
| 公司业绩说明会纪要 | 2025-01-25 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.