Prediction Detail: PRED-20250401-3690HK-0012
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20250401-3690HK-0012 |
| ticker | 3690.HK |
| company | 美团 |
| sector | 本地生活/外卖 |
| prediction_date | 2025-04-01 |
| horizon | 7天 |
| direction | up |
| expected_change_pct | 4.1 |
| confidence | 0.68 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | -2.4 |
| error | 6.5 |
| evidence_count | 3 |
Evidence summary
外卖单量受补贴战影响利润承压，到店酒旅竞争加剧，抖音本地生活分流持续
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 管理层电话会 | 2025-03-28 |
| 公司公告 | 2025-03-24 |
| 海关出口数据 | 2025-03-30 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.