Prediction Detail: PRED-20250510-TSM-0017
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20250510-TSM-0017 |
| ticker | TSM |
| company | 台积电 |
| sector | 晶圆代工 |
| prediction_date | 2025-05-10 |
| horizon | 30天 |
| direction | neutral |
| expected_change_pct | -0.2 |
| confidence | 0.81 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | -1.8 |
| error | 1.6 |
| evidence_count | 4 |
Evidence summary
先进制程产能满载,AI 与 HPC 需求驱动 3nm/5nm 出货强劲,代工提价落地改善毛利
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 管理层电话会 | 2025-05-02 |
| 彭博社报道 | 2025-05-02 |
| 财新报道 | 2025-05-09 |
| 海关出口数据 | 2025-05-08 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.