Prediction Detail: PRED-20250721-1211HK-0027
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20250721-1211HK-0027 |
| ticker | 1211.HK |
| company | 比亚迪 |
| sector | 新能源汽车 |
| prediction_date | 2025-07-21 |
| horizon | 90天 |
| direction | up |
| expected_change_pct | 10.1 |
| confidence | 0.59 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | -10.5 |
| error | 20.6 |
| evidence_count | 4 |
Evidence summary
新能源车销量受价格战影响均价下行,海外出口增长但毛利率承压,行业产能过剩担忧未消
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 摩根士丹利研报 | 2025-07-17 |
| 海关出口数据 | 2025-07-15 |
| 比亚迪 Q2 财报 | 2025-07-14 |
| 高盛行业研报 | 2025-07-17 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.