Prediction Detail: PRED-20250729-0700HK-0028
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20250729-0700HK-0028 |
| ticker | 0700.HK |
| company | 腾讯控股 |
| sector | 互联网/社交 |
| prediction_date | 2025-07-29 |
| horizon | 30天 |
| direction | down |
| expected_change_pct | -7.4 |
| confidence | 0.79 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | 10.4 |
| error | 17.8 |
| evidence_count | 3 |
Evidence summary
游戏业务受新版号与海外大作驱动恢复增长，广告受视频号商业化提速拉动，回购力度维持高位形成估值底
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 美联储议息纪要 | 2025-07-29 |
| SemiAnalysis 供应链跟踪 | 2025-07-23 |
| Counterpoint 出货数据 | 2025-07-22 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.