Prediction Detail: PRED-20251011-MSFT-0038
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20251011-MSFT-0038 |
| ticker | MSFT |
| company | 微软 |
| sector | 软件/云计算 |
| prediction_date | 2025-10-11 |
| horizon | 7天 |
| direction | down |
| expected_change_pct | -4.3 |
| confidence | 0.65 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | -4.6 |
| error | 0.3 |
| evidence_count | 3 |
Evidence summary
云资本开支高企压制自由现金流,Copilot 付费转化慢于预期,市场对 AI 变现节奏存疑
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 管理层电话会 | 2025-10-11 |
| 美联储议息纪要 | 2025-10-08 |
| 公司公告 | 2025-10-07 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.