Prediction Detail: PRED-20251022-3690HK-0040
GOTRA Public Ledger is an auditable AI stock-research public ledger. It records public-safe demo predictions, resolved outcomes, visible errors, and research boundaries. It is research information only, not investment advice, not a trading signal, and not performance proof.
GOTRA Public Ledger 是一个可审计的 AI 股票研究公开预测账本，展示 public-safe demo 预测记录、已结算结果、公开错误和研究边界。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是业绩证明。
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.
GOTRA Public Ledger 仅提供公开安全的研究信息。它不是投资建议、不是交易信号、不是实时交易、不是业绩证明，也不保证未来结果。
Prediction fields
| field | value |
|---|---|
| prediction_id | PRED-20251022-3690HK-0040 |
| ticker | 3690.HK |
| company | 美团 |
| sector | 本地生活/外卖 |
| prediction_date | 2025-10-22 |
| horizon | 7天 |
| direction | down |
| expected_change_pct | -4 |
| confidence | 0.72 |
| status | resolved |
| actual_change_pct | 3.5 |
| error | 7.5 |
| evidence_count | 4 |
Evidence summary
即时零售闪购增长强劲，外卖单均盈利环比改善，竞争格局边际趋稳
| source | date |
|---|---|
| 管理层电话会 | 2025-10-14 |
| 财新报道 | 2025-10-15 |
| 摩根士丹利研报 | 2025-10-22 |
| SemiAnalysis 供应链跟踪 | 2025-10-17 |
Boundary statement
GOTRA Public Ledger provides public-safe research information only. It is not investment advice, not a trading signal, not live trading, not performance proof, and not a guarantee of future outcomes.